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Panne de croissance et bientôt déflation pour la France - https://dev.medias-presse.info
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L’UMPS a l’avantage de ne pas brusquer l’économie : l’un et l’autre donnent le même résultat d’une économie en berne et sans croissance. Les agitations de Sarkozy puis de Valls n’y ont rien changé, et pour deux raisons :

–          en réalité la marge de manœuvre du gouvernement français est quasiment nulle, celui-ci ayant abandonné toutes ses prérogatives en matière économique à Bruxelles. Que ce soit au niveau de la politique monétaire ou douanière, ces deux leviers décisionnels ne sont plus commandés par les pouvoirs nationaux.

–          la logique de ces gouvernants répondant au nouvel ordre mondial, ils s’inscrivent dans un carcan financier mondiale, incapable de considérer le bien commun du pays qu’ils sont sensés dirigés. Ils sont donc ballottés par les velléités des grandes puissances financières dont ils sont incapables aujourd’hui de se protéger.

Si la croissance est nulle au 1er et 2ème trimestre 2014, la déflation n’est plus très loin, notamment grâce aux sanctions prises contre la Russie. En effet, les produits alimentaires français n’ayant plus leur place sur le marché russe, ils se retrouvent en surnombre en France. L’offre étant supérieur à la demande sur le marché national, les prix vont baisser, entraînant un manque à gagner important pour tout un pan de l’économie française avec en première ligne les agriculteurs.

Puis viendra l’application du rapport Attali visant à libéraliser toujours plus d’autres secteurs de l’économie française, les livrant à la guerre économique. Ce rapport visant plus particulièrement les professions réglementées et les professions libérales, il contribuera de façon importante à supprimer un peu plus la classe moyenne et donc, affaiblira un peu plus l’équilibre économique du pays.

Dans ce contexte morose, les politiques nous expliquent qu’ils veulent rendre du pouvoir d’achat pour relancer la croissance par la consommation : pourtant, ils semblent oublier que l’Etat absorbe aujourd’hui plus de 57 % de la richesse crée chaque année, ce qui représente 209 jours par an, l’assistanat pesant lourdement dans les dépenses publiques.

A un tel stade il devient mécaniquement impossible de créer de la croissance.

Xavier Celtillos

Cet article vous a plu ? MPI est une association à but non lucratif qui offre un service de réinformation gratuit et qui ne subsiste que par la générosité de ses lecteurs. Merci de votre soutien !

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